Live on Celo Mainnet

Prediction markets
settled in G$

Trade YES/NO positions on real-world outcomes using GoodDollar. Prices are set by LMSR — a provably fair automated market maker — and every trade settles on-chain.

Active29d left

CRYPTO

Will CELO trade above $0.06 before July 31, 2026?

Volume: G$9.5

1

Active Markets

G$9.5

Total Volume

GoodDollar

Settlement Token

Built for Impact. Crafted for Web3.

Why tracking global opinions on CeloMarket hits differently.

Impact Economy Integration

Put your GoodDollar (G$) assets to work. Turn your UBI or community wealth into predictive power in market dynamics.

Sub-Cent Gas Fees

Powered by Celo's ultra-low gas infrastructure. Put up or exit positions freely without heavy fees burning your trading yield.

Zero Counterparty Risk

No corporate treasuries, no black boxes. Escrows and liquidity provisions live natively in automated smart contracts.

How it works

Three steps to your first prediction.

01

Connect your wallet

Use any Celo-compatible wallet. Your address is your identity — no sign-up required.

02

Pick a market

Browse active questions. Each market has YES and NO shares priced by the LMSR algorithm in real time.

03

Trade & redeem

Buy shares with G$. If your prediction is correct, redeem your winning shares for GoodDollar after resolution.

Fair prices, always.
Powered by LMSR.

The Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule (LMSR) is the gold-standard automated market maker for prediction markets. It guarantees liquidity at every price point and prevents manipulation — the price you see is always mathematically fair based on current positions.

  • No order books — instant fills at LMSR price
  • Prices reflect aggregate market belief
  • Liquidity parameter set at market creation
  • All logic is on-chain and verifiable

// LMSR pricing formula

cost = b × log(
  eˢʸᵉˢ/ᵇ + eˢⁿᵒ/ᵇ
)

price(YES) = eˢʸᵉˢ/ᵇ / (
  eˢʸᵉˢ/ᵇ + eˢⁿᵒ/ᵇ
)

b = liquidity parameter · s = outstanding shares

Start predicting today.

Markets are live. Prices are updating. Your first trade is one click away.

C
CeloMarket

Built on Celo · Settled in G$ · Powered by LMSR